speice.io/blog/2015-11-27-autocallable/_notebook.ipynb

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{
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"source": [
"using Gadfly"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Athena/Phoenix Simulation\n",
"\n",
"## Underlying simulation\n",
"\n",
"In order to price the autocallable bonds, we need to simulate the underlying assets. Let's go ahead and set up the simulation first, as this lays the foundation for what we're trying to do. We're going to use [JNJ](http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=jnj) as the basis for our simulation. This implies the following parameters:\n",
"\n",
"- $S_0$ = \\$102.2 (as of time of writing)\n",
"- $q$ = 2.84%\n",
"- $r$ = [.49, .9, 1.21, 1.45, 1.69] (term structure as of time of writing, linear interpolation)\n",
"- $\\mu$ = $r - q$ (note that this implies a negative drift because of current low rates)\n",
"- $\\sigma$ = $\\sigma_{imp}$ = 15.62% (from VIX implied volatility)\n",
"\n",
"We additionally define some parameters for simulation:\n",
"\n",
"- `T`: The number of years to simulate\n",
"- `m`: The number of paths to simulate\n",
"- `n`: The number of steps to simulate in a year"
]
},
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"5"
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"source": [
"S0 = 102.2\n",
"nominal = 100\n",
"q = 2.84 / 100\n",
"σ = 15.37 / 100\n",
"term = [0, .49, .9, 1.21, 1.45, 1.69] / 100 + 1\n",
"\n",
"###\n",
"# Potential: Based on PEP\n",
"# S0 = 100.6\n",
"# σ = 14.86\n",
"# q = 2.7\n",
"###\n",
"\n",
"# Simulation parameters\n",
"T = 5 # Using years as the unit of time\n",
"n = 250 # simulations per year\n",
"m = 100000 # paths\n",
"num_simulations = 5; # simulation rounds per price"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Defining the simulation\n",
"To make things simpler, we simulate a single year at a time. This allows us to easily add in a dividend policy without too much difficulty, and update the simulation every year to match the term structure. The underlying uses GBM for simulation between years."
]
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"simulate_gbm = function(S0, μ, σ, T, n)\n",
" # Set the initial state\n",
" m = length(S0)\n",
" t = T / n\n",
" motion = zeros(m, n)\n",
" motion[:,1] = S0\n",
" \n",
" # Build out all states\n",
" for i=1:(n-1)\n",
" motion[:,i+1] = motion[:,i] .* exp((μ - σ^2/2)*t) .* exp(sqrt(t) * σ .* randn(m))\n",
" end\n",
" \n",
" return motion\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"function display_motion(motion, T)\n",
" # Given a matrix of paths, display the motion\n",
" n = length(motion[1,:])\n",
" m = length(motion[:,1])\n",
" x = repmat(1:n, m)\n",
" \n",
" # Calculate the ticks we're going to use. We'd like to\n",
" # have an xtick every month, so calculate where those\n",
" # ticks will actually be at.\n",
" if (T > 3)\n",
" num_ticks = T\n",
" xlabel = \"Years\"\n",
" else\n",
" num_ticks = T * 12\n",
" xlabel = \"Months\"\n",
" end\n",
" tick_width = n / num_ticks\n",
" x_ticks = []\n",
" for i=1:round(num_ticks)\n",
" x_ticks = vcat(x_ticks, i*tick_width)\n",
" end\n",
" \n",
" # Use one color for each path. I'm not sure if there's\n",
" # a better way to do this without going through DataFrames\n",
" colors = []\n",
" for i = 1:m\n",
" colors = vcat(colors, ones(n)*i)\n",
" end\n",
" \n",
" plot(x=x, y=motion', color=colors, Geom.line,\n",
" Guide.xticks(ticks=x_ticks, label=false),\n",
" Guide.xlabel(xlabel),\n",
" Guide.ylabel(\"Value\"))\n",
"end;"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Example simulation\n",
"\n",
"Let's go ahead and run a sample simulation to see what the functions got us!"
]
},
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"function(d){null==d&&(d=1);return a.format('<feColorMatrix type=\"matrix\" values=\"{a} {b} {c} 0 0 {d} {e} {f} 0 0 {g} {h} {i} 0 0 0 0 0 1 0\"/>',{a:0.393+0.607*(1-d),b:0.769-0.769*(1-d),c:0.189-0.189*(1-d),d:0.349-0.349*(1-d),e:0.686+0.314*(1-d),f:0.168-0.168*(1-d),g:0.272-0.272*(1-d),h:0.534-0.534*(1-d),i:0.131+0.869*(1-d)})};a.filter.sepia.toString=function(){return this()};a.filter.saturate=function(d){null==d&&(d=1);return a.format('<feColorMatrix type=\"saturate\" values=\"{amount}\"/>',{amount:1-\n",
"d})};a.filter.saturate.toString=function(){return this()};a.filter.hueRotate=function(d){return a.format('<feColorMatrix type=\"hueRotate\" values=\"{angle}\"/>',{angle:d||0})};a.filter.hueRotate.toString=function(){return this()};a.filter.invert=function(d){null==d&&(d=1);return a.format('<feComponentTransfer><feFuncR type=\"table\" tableValues=\"{amount} {amount2}\"/><feFuncG type=\"table\" tableValues=\"{amount} {amount2}\"/><feFuncB type=\"table\" tableValues=\"{amount} {amount2}\"/></feComponentTransfer>',{amount:d,\n",
"amount2:1-d})};a.filter.invert.toString=function(){return this()};a.filter.brightness=function(d){null==d&&(d=1);return a.format('<feComponentTransfer><feFuncR type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\"/><feFuncG type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\"/><feFuncB type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\"/></feComponentTransfer>',{amount:d})};a.filter.brightness.toString=function(){return this()};a.filter.contrast=function(d){null==d&&(d=1);return a.format('<feComponentTransfer><feFuncR type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\" intercept=\"{amount2}\"/><feFuncG type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\" intercept=\"{amount2}\"/><feFuncB type=\"linear\" slope=\"{amount}\" intercept=\"{amount2}\"/></feComponentTransfer>',\n",
"{amount:d,amount2:0.5-d/2})};a.filter.contrast.toString=function(){return this()}});return C});\n",
"\n",
"]]> </script>\n",
"<script> <![CDATA[\n",
"\n",
"(function (glob, factory) {\n",
" // AMD support\n",
" if (typeof define === \"function\" && define.amd) {\n",
" // Define as an anonymous module\n",
" define(\"Gadfly\", [\"Snap.svg\"], function (Snap) {\n",
" return factory(Snap);\n",
" });\n",
" } else {\n",
" // Browser globals (glob is window)\n",
" // Snap adds itself to window\n",
" glob.Gadfly = factory(glob.Snap);\n",
" }\n",
"}(this, function (Snap) {\n",
"\n",
"var Gadfly = {};\n",
"\n",
"// Get an x/y coordinate value in pixels\n",
"var xPX = function(fig, x) {\n",
" var client_box = fig.node.getBoundingClientRect();\n",
" return x * fig.node.viewBox.baseVal.width / client_box.width;\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"var yPX = function(fig, y) {\n",
" var client_box = fig.node.getBoundingClientRect();\n",
" return y * fig.node.viewBox.baseVal.height / client_box.height;\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Snap.plugin(function (Snap, Element, Paper, global) {\n",
" // Traverse upwards from a snap element to find and return the first\n",
" // note with the \"plotroot\" class.\n",
" Element.prototype.plotroot = function () {\n",
" var element = this;\n",
" while (!element.hasClass(\"plotroot\") && element.parent() != null) {\n",
" element = element.parent();\n",
" }\n",
" return element;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.svgroot = function () {\n",
" var element = this;\n",
" while (element.node.nodeName != \"svg\" && element.parent() != null) {\n",
" element = element.parent();\n",
" }\n",
" return element;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.plotbounds = function () {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot()\n",
" var bbox = root.select(\".guide.background\").node.getBBox();\n",
" return {\n",
" x0: bbox.x,\n",
" x1: bbox.x + bbox.width,\n",
" y0: bbox.y,\n",
" y1: bbox.y + bbox.height\n",
" };\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.plotcenter = function () {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot()\n",
" var bbox = root.select(\".guide.background\").node.getBBox();\n",
" return {\n",
" x: bbox.x + bbox.width / 2,\n",
" y: bbox.y + bbox.height / 2\n",
" };\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" // Emulate IE style mouseenter/mouseleave events, since Microsoft always\n",
" // does everything right.\n",
" // See: http://www.dynamic-tools.net/toolbox/isMouseLeaveOrEnter/\n",
" var events = [\"mouseenter\", \"mouseleave\"];\n",
"\n",
" for (i in events) {\n",
" (function (event_name) {\n",
" var event_name = events[i];\n",
" Element.prototype[event_name] = function (fn, scope) {\n",
" if (Snap.is(fn, \"function\")) {\n",
" var fn2 = function (event) {\n",
" if (event.type != \"mouseover\" && event.type != \"mouseout\") {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" var reltg = event.relatedTarget ? event.relatedTarget :\n",
" event.type == \"mouseout\" ? event.toElement : event.fromElement;\n",
" while (reltg && reltg != this.node) reltg = reltg.parentNode;\n",
"\n",
" if (reltg != this.node) {\n",
" return fn.apply(this, event);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (event_name == \"mouseenter\") {\n",
" this.mouseover(fn2, scope);\n",
" } else {\n",
" this.mouseout(fn2, scope);\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
" })(events[i]);\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.mousewheel = function (fn, scope) {\n",
" if (Snap.is(fn, \"function\")) {\n",
" var el = this;\n",
" var fn2 = function (event) {\n",
" fn.apply(el, [event]);\n",
" };\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" this.node.addEventListener(\n",
" /Firefox/i.test(navigator.userAgent) ? \"DOMMouseScroll\" : \"mousewheel\",\n",
" fn2);\n",
"\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
"\n",
" // Snap's attr function can be too slow for things like panning/zooming.\n",
" // This is a function to directly update element attributes without going\n",
" // through eve.\n",
" Element.prototype.attribute = function(key, val) {\n",
" if (val === undefined) {\n",
" return this.node.getAttribute(key);\n",
" } else {\n",
" this.node.setAttribute(key, val);\n",
" return this;\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.init_gadfly = function() {\n",
" this.mouseenter(Gadfly.plot_mouseover)\n",
" .mouseleave(Gadfly.plot_mouseout)\n",
" .dblclick(Gadfly.plot_dblclick)\n",
" .mousewheel(Gadfly.guide_background_scroll)\n",
" .drag(Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onmove,\n",
" Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onstart,\n",
" Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onend);\n",
" this.mouseenter(function (event) {\n",
" init_pan_zoom(this.plotroot());\n",
" });\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
"});\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// When the plot is moused over, emphasize the grid lines.\n",
"Gadfly.plot_mouseover = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" var keyboard_zoom = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.which == 187) { // plus\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(root, 0.1, true);\n",
" } else if (event.which == 189) { // minus\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(root, -0.1, true);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
" root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\", keyboard_zoom);\n",
" window.addEventListener(\"keyup\", keyboard_zoom);\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\"),\n",
" ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
"\n",
" xgridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\",\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\").replace(/(\\d)(,|$)/g, \"$1mm$2\"));\n",
" ygridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\",\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\").replace(/(\\d)(,|$)/g, \"$1mm$2\"));\n",
"\n",
" // emphasize grid lines\n",
" var destcolor = root.data(\"focused_xgrid_color\");\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", \"none\")\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" destcolor = root.data(\"focused_ygrid_color\");\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", \"none\")\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" // reveal zoom slider\n",
" root.select(\".zoomslider\")\n",
" .animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"// Reset pan and zoom on double click\n",
"Gadfly.plot_dblclick = function(event) {\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(this.plotroot(), 0.0, 0.0, 1.0);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"// Unemphasize grid lines on mouse out.\n",
"Gadfly.plot_mouseout = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" window.removeEventListener(\"keyup\", root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\"));\n",
" root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\", undefined);\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\"),\n",
" ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
"\n",
" var destcolor = root.data(\"unfocused_xgrid_color\");\n",
"\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", xgridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\"))\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" destcolor = root.data(\"unfocused_ygrid_color\");\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", ygridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\"))\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" // hide zoom slider\n",
" root.select(\".zoomslider\")\n",
" .animate({opacity: 0.0}, 250);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var set_geometry_transform = function(root, tx, ty, scale) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
"\n",
" var old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
"\n",
" var xscale = xscalable ? scale : 1.0,\n",
" yscale = yscalable ? scale : 1.0;\n",
"\n",
" tx = xscalable ? tx : 0.0;\n",
" ty = yscalable ? ty : 0.0;\n",
"\n",
" var t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, ty).scale(xscale, yscale);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\".geometry, image\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" var xfixed_t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(0, ty).scale(1.0, yscale);\n",
" root.selectAll(\".xfixed\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(xfixed_t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".ylabels\")\n",
" .transform(xfixed_t)\n",
" .selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var cx = element.asPX(\"x\"),\n",
" cy = element.asPX(\"y\");\n",
" var st = element.data(\"static_transform\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix();\n",
" unscale_t.scale(1, 1/scale, cx, cy).add(st);\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
"\n",
" var y = cy * scale + ty;\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\",\n",
" bounds.y0 <= y && y <= bounds.y1 ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" var yfixed_t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, 0).scale(xscale, 1.0);\n",
" var xtrans = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, 0);\n",
" root.selectAll(\".yfixed\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(yfixed_t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".xlabels\")\n",
" .transform(yfixed_t)\n",
" .selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var cx = element.asPX(\"x\"),\n",
" cy = element.asPX(\"y\");\n",
" var st = element.data(\"static_transform\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix();\n",
" unscale_t.scale(1/scale, 1, cx, cy).add(st);\n",
"\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
"\n",
" var x = cx * scale + tx;\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\",\n",
" bounds.x0 <= x && x <= bounds.x1 ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // we must unscale anything that is scale invariance: widths, raiduses, etc.\n",
" var size_attribs = [\"font-size\"];\n",
" var unscaled_selection = \".geometry, .geometry *\";\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" size_attribs.push(\"rx\");\n",
" unscaled_selection += \", .xgridlines\";\n",
" }\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" size_attribs.push(\"ry\");\n",
" unscaled_selection += \", .ygridlines\";\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(unscaled_selection)\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" // circle need special help\n",
" if (element.node.nodeName == \"circle\") {\n",
" var cx = element.attribute(\"cx\"),\n",
" cy = element.attribute(\"cy\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix().scale(1/xscale, 1/yscale,\n",
" cx, cy);\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" for (i in size_attribs) {\n",
" var key = size_attribs[i];\n",
" var val = parseFloat(element.attribute(key));\n",
" if (val !== undefined && val != 0 && !isNaN(val)) {\n",
" element.attribute(key, val * old_scale / scale);\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Find the most appropriate tick scale and update label visibility.\n",
"var update_tickscale = function(root, scale, axis) {\n",
" if (!root.hasClass(axis + \"scalable\")) return;\n",
"\n",
" var tickscales = root.data(axis + \"tickscales\");\n",
" var best_tickscale = 1.0;\n",
" var best_tickscale_dist = Infinity;\n",
" for (tickscale in tickscales) {\n",
" var dist = Math.abs(Math.log(tickscale) - Math.log(scale));\n",
" if (dist < best_tickscale_dist) {\n",
" best_tickscale_dist = dist;\n",
" best_tickscale = tickscale;\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (best_tickscale != root.data(axis + \"tickscale\")) {\n",
" root.data(axis + \"tickscale\", best_tickscale);\n",
" var mark_inscale_gridlines = function (element, i) {\n",
" var inscale = element.attr(\"gadfly:scale\") == best_tickscale;\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", inscale);\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", inscale ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" var mark_inscale_labels = function (element, i) {\n",
" var inscale = element.attr(\"gadfly:scale\") == best_tickscale;\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", inscale);\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", inscale ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".\" + axis + \"gridlines\").selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale_gridlines);\n",
" root.select(\".\" + axis + \"labels\").selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale_labels);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var set_plot_pan_zoom = function(root, tx, ty, scale) {\n",
" var old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" // compute the viewport derived from tx, ty, and scale\n",
" var x_min = -width * scale - (scale * width - width),\n",
" x_max = width * scale,\n",
" y_min = -height * scale - (scale * height - height),\n",
" y_max = height * scale;\n",
"\n",
" var x0 = bounds.x0 - scale * bounds.x0,\n",
" y0 = bounds.y0 - scale * bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx = Math.max(Math.min(tx - x0, x_max), x_min),\n",
" ty = Math.max(Math.min(ty - y0, y_max), y_min);\n",
"\n",
" tx += x0;\n",
" ty += y0;\n",
"\n",
" // when the scale change, we may need to alter which set of\n",
" // ticks is being displayed\n",
" if (scale != old_scale) {\n",
" update_tickscale(root, scale, \"x\");\n",
" update_tickscale(root, scale, \"y\");\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" set_geometry_transform(root, tx, ty, scale);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"scale\", scale);\n",
" root.data(\"tx\", tx);\n",
" root.data(\"ty\", ty);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var scale_centered_translation = function(root, scale) {\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx0 = root.data(\"tx\"),\n",
" ty0 = root.data(\"ty\");\n",
"\n",
" var scale0 = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
"\n",
" // how off from center the current view is\n",
" var xoff = tx0 - (bounds.x0 * (1 - scale0) + (width * (1 - scale0)) / 2),\n",
" yoff = ty0 - (bounds.y0 * (1 - scale0) + (height * (1 - scale0)) / 2);\n",
"\n",
" // rescale offsets\n",
" xoff = xoff * scale / scale0;\n",
" yoff = yoff * scale / scale0;\n",
"\n",
" // adjust for the panel position being scaled\n",
" var x_edge_adjust = bounds.x0 * (1 - scale),\n",
" y_edge_adjust = bounds.y0 * (1 - scale);\n",
"\n",
" return {\n",
" x: xoff + x_edge_adjust + (width - width * scale) / 2,\n",
" y: yoff + y_edge_adjust + (height - height * scale) / 2\n",
" };\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Initialize data for panning zooming if it isn't already.\n",
"var init_pan_zoom = function(root) {\n",
" if (root.data(\"zoompan-ready\")) {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // The non-scaling-stroke trick. Rather than try to correct for the\n",
" // stroke-width when zooming, we force it to a fixed value.\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.node.getCTM().a;\n",
"\n",
" // Drag events report deltas in pixels, which we'd like to convert to\n",
" // millimeters.\n",
" root.data(\"px_per_mm\", px_per_mm);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" sw = element.asPX(\"stroke-width\") * px_per_mm;\n",
" if (sw > 0) {\n",
" element.attribute(\"stroke-width\", sw);\n",
" element.attribute(\"vector-effect\", \"non-scaling-stroke\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" // Store ticks labels original tranformation\n",
" root.selectAll(\".xlabels > text, .ylabels > text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" var lm = element.transform().localMatrix;\n",
" element.data(\"static_transform\",\n",
" new Snap.Matrix(lm.a, lm.b, lm.c, lm.d, lm.e, lm.f));\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\");\n",
" var ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
" var xlabels = root.select(\".xlabels\");\n",
" var ylabels = root.select(\".ylabels\");\n",
"\n",
" if (root.data(\"tx\") === undefined) root.data(\"tx\", 0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"ty\") === undefined) root.data(\"ty\", 0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"scale\") === undefined) root.data(\"scale\", 1.0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"xtickscales\") === undefined) {\n",
"\n",
" // index all the tick scales that are listed\n",
" var xtickscales = {};\n",
" var ytickscales = {};\n",
" var add_x_tick_scales = function (element, i) {\n",
" xtickscales[element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\")] = true;\n",
" };\n",
" var add_y_tick_scales = function (element, i) {\n",
" ytickscales[element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\")] = true;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) xgridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(add_x_tick_scales);\n",
" if (ygridlines) ygridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(add_y_tick_scales);\n",
" if (xlabels) xlabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(add_x_tick_scales);\n",
" if (ylabels) ylabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(add_y_tick_scales);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"xtickscales\", xtickscales);\n",
" root.data(\"ytickscales\", ytickscales);\n",
" root.data(\"xtickscale\", 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" var min_scale = 1.0, max_scale = 1.0;\n",
" for (scale in xtickscales) {\n",
" min_scale = Math.min(min_scale, scale);\n",
" max_scale = Math.max(max_scale, scale);\n",
" }\n",
" for (scale in ytickscales) {\n",
" min_scale = Math.min(min_scale, scale);\n",
" max_scale = Math.max(max_scale, scale);\n",
" }\n",
" root.data(\"min_scale\", min_scale);\n",
" root.data(\"max_scale\", max_scale);\n",
"\n",
" // store the original positions of labels\n",
" if (xlabels) {\n",
" xlabels.selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.data(\"x\", element.asPX(\"x\"));\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (ylabels) {\n",
" ylabels.selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.data(\"y\", element.asPX(\"y\"));\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // mark grid lines and ticks as in or out of scale.\n",
" var mark_inscale = function (element, i) {\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\") == 1.0);\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) xgridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (ygridlines) ygridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (xlabels) xlabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (ylabels) ylabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
"\n",
" // figure out the upper ond lower bounds on panning using the maximum\n",
" // and minum grid lines\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var pan_bounds = {\n",
" x0: 0.0,\n",
" y0: 0.0,\n",
" x1: 0.0,\n",
" y1: 0.0\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) {\n",
" xgridlines\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var bbox = element.node.getBBox();\n",
" if (bounds.x1 - bbox.x < pan_bounds.x0) {\n",
" pan_bounds.x0 = bounds.x1 - bbox.x;\n",
" }\n",
" if (bounds.x0 - bbox.x > pan_bounds.x1) {\n",
" pan_bounds.x1 = bounds.x0 - bbox.x;\n",
" }\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", \"visible\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (ygridlines) {\n",
" ygridlines\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var bbox = element.node.getBBox();\n",
" if (bounds.y1 - bbox.y < pan_bounds.y0) {\n",
" pan_bounds.y0 = bounds.y1 - bbox.y;\n",
" }\n",
" if (bounds.y0 - bbox.y > pan_bounds.y1) {\n",
" pan_bounds.y1 = bounds.y0 - bbox.y;\n",
" }\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", \"visible\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // nudge these values a little\n",
" pan_bounds.x0 -= 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.x1 += 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.y0 -= 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.y1 += 5;\n",
" root.data(\"pan_bounds\", pan_bounds);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"zoompan-ready\", true)\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// drag actions, i.e. zooming and panning\n",
"var pan_action = {\n",
" start: function(root, x, y, event) {\n",
" root.data(\"dx\", 0);\n",
" root.data(\"dy\", 0);\n",
" root.data(\"tx0\", root.data(\"tx\"));\n",
" root.data(\"ty0\", root.data(\"ty\"));\n",
" },\n",
" update: function(root, dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" dx /= px_per_mm;\n",
" dy /= px_per_mm;\n",
"\n",
" var tx0 = root.data(\"tx\"),\n",
" ty0 = root.data(\"ty\");\n",
"\n",
" var dx0 = root.data(\"dx\"),\n",
" dy0 = root.data(\"dy\");\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"dx\", dx);\n",
" root.data(\"dy\", dy);\n",
"\n",
" dx = dx - dx0;\n",
" dy = dy - dy0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx = tx0 + dx,\n",
" ty = ty0 + dy;\n",
"\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, tx, ty, root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" },\n",
" end: function(root, event) {\n",
"\n",
" },\n",
" cancel: function(root) {\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, root.data(\"tx0\"), root.data(\"ty0\"), root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"var zoom_box;\n",
"var zoom_action = {\n",
" start: function(root, x, y, event) {\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
" var ratio = width / height;\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" x = xscalable ? x / px_per_mm : bounds.x0;\n",
" y = yscalable ? y / px_per_mm : bounds.y0;\n",
" var w = xscalable ? 0 : width;\n",
" var h = yscalable ? 0 : height;\n",
" zoom_box = root.rect(x, y, w, h).attr({\n",
" \"fill\": \"#000\",\n",
" \"opacity\": 0.25\n",
" });\n",
" zoom_box.data(\"ratio\", ratio);\n",
" },\n",
" update: function(root, dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" y /= px_per_mm;\n",
" y = Math.max(bounds.y0, y);\n",
" y = Math.min(bounds.y1, y);\n",
" } else {\n",
" y = bounds.y1;\n",
" }\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" x /= px_per_mm;\n",
" x = Math.max(bounds.x0, x);\n",
" x = Math.min(bounds.x1, x);\n",
" } else {\n",
" x = bounds.x1;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" dx = x - zoom_box.attr(\"x\");\n",
" dy = y - zoom_box.attr(\"y\");\n",
" if (xscalable && yscalable) {\n",
" var ratio = zoom_box.data(\"ratio\");\n",
" var width = Math.min(Math.abs(dx), ratio * Math.abs(dy));\n",
" var height = Math.min(Math.abs(dy), Math.abs(dx) / ratio);\n",
" dx = width * dx / Math.abs(dx);\n",
" dy = height * dy / Math.abs(dy);\n",
" }\n",
" var xoffset = 0,\n",
" yoffset = 0;\n",
" if (dx < 0) {\n",
" xoffset = dx;\n",
" dx = -1 * dx;\n",
" }\n",
" if (dy < 0) {\n",
" yoffset = dy;\n",
" dy = -1 * dy;\n",
" }\n",
" if (isNaN(dy)) {\n",
" dy = 0.0;\n",
" }\n",
" if (isNaN(dx)) {\n",
" dx = 0.0;\n",
" }\n",
" zoom_box.transform(\"T\" + xoffset + \",\" + yoffset);\n",
" zoom_box.attr(\"width\", dx);\n",
" zoom_box.attr(\"height\", dy);\n",
" },\n",
" end: function(root, event) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var zoom_bounds = zoom_box.getBBox();\n",
" if (zoom_bounds.width * zoom_bounds.height <= 0) {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
" var plot_bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var zoom_factor = 1.0;\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" zoom_factor = (plot_bounds.y1 - plot_bounds.y0) / zoom_bounds.height;\n",
" } else {\n",
" zoom_factor = (plot_bounds.x1 - plot_bounds.x0) / zoom_bounds.width;\n",
" }\n",
" var tx = (root.data(\"tx\") - zoom_bounds.x) * zoom_factor + plot_bounds.x0,\n",
" ty = (root.data(\"ty\") - zoom_bounds.y) * zoom_factor + plot_bounds.y0;\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, tx, ty, root.data(\"scale\") * zoom_factor);\n",
" zoom_box.remove();\n",
" },\n",
" cancel: function(root) {\n",
" zoom_box.remove();\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onstart = function(x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var scalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\") || root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var zoomable = !event.altKey && !event.ctrlKey && event.shiftKey && scalable;\n",
" var panable = !event.altKey && !event.ctrlKey && !event.shiftKey && scalable;\n",
" var drag_action = zoomable ? zoom_action :\n",
" panable ? pan_action :\n",
" undefined;\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", drag_action);\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" var cancel_drag_action = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.which == 27) { // esc key\n",
" drag_action.cancel(root);\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", undefined);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
" window.addEventListener(\"keyup\", cancel_drag_action);\n",
" root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\", cancel_drag_action);\n",
" drag_action.start(root, x, y, event);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onmove = function(dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var drag_action = root.data(\"drag_action\");\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" drag_action.update(root, dx, dy, x, y, event);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onend = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" window.removeEventListener(\"keyup\", root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\"));\n",
" root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\", undefined);\n",
" var drag_action = root.data(\"drag_action\");\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" drag_action.end(root, event);\n",
" }\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", undefined);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_scroll = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.shiftKey) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), 0.001 * event.wheelDelta);\n",
" event.preventDefault();\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover = function(event) {\n",
" this.select(\".button_logo\")\n",
" .animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseover_color\")}, 100);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout = function(event) {\n",
" this.select(\".button_logo\")\n",
" .animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseout_color\")}, 100);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomout_click = function(event) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), -0.1, true);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomin_click = function(event) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), 0.1, true);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_track_click = function(event) {\n",
" // TODO\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Map slider position x to scale y using the function y = a*exp(b*x)+c.\n",
"// The constants a, b, and c are solved using the constraint that the function\n",
"// should go through the points (0; min_scale), (0.5; 1), and (1; max_scale).\n",
"var scale_from_slider_position = function(position, min_scale, max_scale) {\n",
" var a = (1 - 2 * min_scale + min_scale * min_scale) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2),\n",
" b = 2 * Math.log((max_scale - 1) / (1 - min_scale)),\n",
" c = (min_scale * max_scale - 1) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2);\n",
" return a * Math.exp(b * position) + c;\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"// inverse of scale_from_slider_position\n",
"var slider_position_from_scale = function(scale, min_scale, max_scale) {\n",
" var a = (1 - 2 * min_scale + min_scale * min_scale) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2),\n",
" b = 2 * Math.log((max_scale - 1) / (1 - min_scale)),\n",
" c = (min_scale * max_scale - 1) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2);\n",
" return 1 / b * Math.log((scale - c) / a);\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"var increase_zoom_by_position = function(root, delta_position, animate) {\n",
" var scale = root.data(\"scale\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\");\n",
" var position = slider_position_from_scale(scale, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" position += delta_position;\n",
" scale = scale_from_slider_position(position, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" set_zoom(root, scale, animate);\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"var set_zoom = function(root, scale, animate) {\n",
" var min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\"),\n",
" old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
" var new_scale = Math.max(min_scale, Math.min(scale, max_scale));\n",
" if (animate) {\n",
" Snap.animate(\n",
" old_scale,\n",
" new_scale,\n",
" function (new_scale) {\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" },\n",
" 200);\n",
" } else {\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" }\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var update_plot_scale = function(root, new_scale) {\n",
" var trans = scale_centered_translation(root, new_scale);\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, trans.x, trans.y, new_scale);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\".zoomslider_thumb\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" var min_pos = element.data(\"min_pos\"),\n",
" max_pos = element.data(\"max_pos\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\");\n",
" var xmid = (min_pos + max_pos) / 2;\n",
" var xpos = slider_position_from_scale(new_scale, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" element.transform(new Snap.Matrix().translate(\n",
" Math.max(min_pos, Math.min(\n",
" max_pos, min_pos + (max_pos - min_pos) * xpos)) - xmid, 0));\n",
" });\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragmove = function(dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var min_pos = this.data(\"min_pos\"),\n",
" max_pos = this.data(\"max_pos\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\"),\n",
" old_scale = root.data(\"old_scale\");\n",
"\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" dx /= px_per_mm;\n",
" dy /= px_per_mm;\n",
"\n",
" var xmid = (min_pos + max_pos) / 2;\n",
" var xpos = slider_position_from_scale(old_scale, min_scale, max_scale) +\n",
" dx / (max_pos - min_pos);\n",
"\n",
" // compute the new scale\n",
" var new_scale = scale_from_slider_position(xpos, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" new_scale = Math.min(max_scale, Math.max(min_scale, new_scale));\n",
"\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragstart = function(x, y, event) {\n",
" this.animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseover_color\")}, 100);\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" // keep track of what the scale was when we started dragging\n",
" root.data(\"old_scale\", root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragend = function(event) {\n",
" this.animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseout_color\")}, 100);\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var toggle_color_class = function(root, color_class, ison) {\n",
" var guides = root.selectAll(\".guide.\" + color_class + \",.guide .\" + color_class);\n",
" var geoms = root.selectAll(\".geometry.\" + color_class + \",.geometry .\" + color_class);\n",
" if (ison) {\n",
" guides.animate({opacity: 0.5}, 250);\n",
" geoms.animate({opacity: 0.0}, 250);\n",
" } else {\n",
" guides.animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
" geoms.animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.colorkey_swatch_click = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var color_class = this.data(\"color_class\");\n",
"\n",
" if (event.shiftKey) {\n",
" root.selectAll(\".colorkey text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element) {\n",
" var other_color_class = element.data(\"color_class\");\n",
" if (other_color_class != color_class) {\n",
" toggle_color_class(root, other_color_class,\n",
" element.attr(\"opacity\") == 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" } else {\n",
" toggle_color_class(root, color_class, this.attr(\"opacity\") == 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"return Gadfly;\n",
"\n",
"}));\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"//@ sourceURL=gadfly.js\n",
"\n",
"(function (glob, factory) {\n",
" // AMD support\n",
" if (typeof require === \"function\" && typeof define === \"function\" && define.amd) {\n",
" require([\"Snap.svg\", \"Gadfly\"], function (Snap, Gadfly) {\n",
" factory(Snap, Gadfly);\n",
" });\n",
" } else {\n",
" factory(glob.Snap, glob.Gadfly);\n",
" }\n",
"})(window, function (Snap, Gadfly) {\n",
" var fig = Snap(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151\");\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-8\")\n",
" .init_gadfly();\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-11\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"unfocused_ygrid_color\", \"#D0D0E0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-11\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"focused_ygrid_color\", \"#A0A0A0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-12\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"unfocused_xgrid_color\", \"#D0D0E0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-12\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"focused_xgrid_color\", \"#A0A0A0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-16\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-16\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-16\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomin_click)\n",
".mouseenter(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover)\n",
".mouseleave(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-18\")\n",
" .data(\"max_pos\", 111.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-18\")\n",
" .data(\"min_pos\", 94.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-18\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_track_click);\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"max_pos\", 111.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"min_pos\", 94.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-19\")\n",
" .drag(Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragmove,\n",
" Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragstart,\n",
" Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragend)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-20\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-20\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-3a6dd25ad25c4037a166889ee51bb151-element-20\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomout_click)\n",
".mouseenter(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover)\n",
".mouseleave(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout)\n",
";\n",
" });\n",
"]]> </script>\n",
"</svg>\n"
],
"text/plain": [
"Plot(...)"
]
},
"execution_count": 4,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
}
],
"source": [
"initial = ones(5) * S0\n",
"# Using μ=0, T=.25 for now, we'll use the proper values later\n",
"motion = simulate_gbm(initial, 0, σ, .25, 200) \n",
"\n",
"display_motion(motion, .25)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Computing the term structure\n",
"\n",
"Now that we've got the basic motion set up, let's start making things a bit more sophisticated for the model. We're going to assume that the drift of the stock is the difference between the implied forward rate and the quarterly dividend rate.\n",
"\n",
"We're given the yearly term structure, and need to calculate the quarterly forward rate to match this structure. The term structure is assumed to follow:\n",
"\n",
"$d(0, t) = d(0,t-1)\\cdot f_{i-1, i}$\n",
"\n",
"Where $f_{i-1, i}$ is the quarterly forward rate."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 5,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [],
"source": [
"forward_term = function(yearly_term)\n",
" # It is assumed that we have a yearly term structure passed in, and starts at year 0\n",
" # This implies a nominal rate above 0 for the first year!\n",
" years = length(term)-1 # because we start at 0\n",
" structure = [(term[i+1] / term[i]) for i=1:years]\n",
"end;"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Illustrating the term structure\n",
"\n",
"Now that we've got our term structure, let's validate that we're getting the correct results! If we've done this correctly, then:\n",
"\n",
"```\n",
"term[2] == term[1] * structure[1]\n",
"```"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 6,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"Actual term[2]: 1.0049; Calculated term[2]: 1.0049\n"
]
}
],
"source": [
"# Example term structure taken from:\n",
"# http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield\n",
"# Linear interpolation used years in-between periods, assuming real-dollar\n",
"# interest rates\n",
"forward_yield = forward_term(term)\n",
"calculated_term2 = term[1] * forward_yield[1]\n",
"\n",
"println(\"Actual term[2]: $(term[2]); Calculated term[2]: $(calculated_term2)\")"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### The full underlying simulation\n",
"\n",
"Now that we have the term structure set up, we can actually start doing some real simulation! Let's construct some paths through the full 5-year time frame. In order to do this, we will simulate 1 year at a time, and use the forward rates at those times to compute the drift. Thus, there will be 5 total simulations batched together."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 7,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [
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" // Browser globals (glob is window)\n",
" // Snap adds itself to window\n",
" glob.Gadfly = factory(glob.Snap);\n",
" }\n",
"}(this, function (Snap) {\n",
"\n",
"var Gadfly = {};\n",
"\n",
"// Get an x/y coordinate value in pixels\n",
"var xPX = function(fig, x) {\n",
" var client_box = fig.node.getBoundingClientRect();\n",
" return x * fig.node.viewBox.baseVal.width / client_box.width;\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"var yPX = function(fig, y) {\n",
" var client_box = fig.node.getBoundingClientRect();\n",
" return y * fig.node.viewBox.baseVal.height / client_box.height;\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Snap.plugin(function (Snap, Element, Paper, global) {\n",
" // Traverse upwards from a snap element to find and return the first\n",
" // note with the \"plotroot\" class.\n",
" Element.prototype.plotroot = function () {\n",
" var element = this;\n",
" while (!element.hasClass(\"plotroot\") && element.parent() != null) {\n",
" element = element.parent();\n",
" }\n",
" return element;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.svgroot = function () {\n",
" var element = this;\n",
" while (element.node.nodeName != \"svg\" && element.parent() != null) {\n",
" element = element.parent();\n",
" }\n",
" return element;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.plotbounds = function () {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot()\n",
" var bbox = root.select(\".guide.background\").node.getBBox();\n",
" return {\n",
" x0: bbox.x,\n",
" x1: bbox.x + bbox.width,\n",
" y0: bbox.y,\n",
" y1: bbox.y + bbox.height\n",
" };\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.plotcenter = function () {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot()\n",
" var bbox = root.select(\".guide.background\").node.getBBox();\n",
" return {\n",
" x: bbox.x + bbox.width / 2,\n",
" y: bbox.y + bbox.height / 2\n",
" };\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" // Emulate IE style mouseenter/mouseleave events, since Microsoft always\n",
" // does everything right.\n",
" // See: http://www.dynamic-tools.net/toolbox/isMouseLeaveOrEnter/\n",
" var events = [\"mouseenter\", \"mouseleave\"];\n",
"\n",
" for (i in events) {\n",
" (function (event_name) {\n",
" var event_name = events[i];\n",
" Element.prototype[event_name] = function (fn, scope) {\n",
" if (Snap.is(fn, \"function\")) {\n",
" var fn2 = function (event) {\n",
" if (event.type != \"mouseover\" && event.type != \"mouseout\") {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" var reltg = event.relatedTarget ? event.relatedTarget :\n",
" event.type == \"mouseout\" ? event.toElement : event.fromElement;\n",
" while (reltg && reltg != this.node) reltg = reltg.parentNode;\n",
"\n",
" if (reltg != this.node) {\n",
" return fn.apply(this, event);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (event_name == \"mouseenter\") {\n",
" this.mouseover(fn2, scope);\n",
" } else {\n",
" this.mouseout(fn2, scope);\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
" })(events[i]);\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.mousewheel = function (fn, scope) {\n",
" if (Snap.is(fn, \"function\")) {\n",
" var el = this;\n",
" var fn2 = function (event) {\n",
" fn.apply(el, [event]);\n",
" };\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" this.node.addEventListener(\n",
" /Firefox/i.test(navigator.userAgent) ? \"DOMMouseScroll\" : \"mousewheel\",\n",
" fn2);\n",
"\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
"\n",
" // Snap's attr function can be too slow for things like panning/zooming.\n",
" // This is a function to directly update element attributes without going\n",
" // through eve.\n",
" Element.prototype.attribute = function(key, val) {\n",
" if (val === undefined) {\n",
" return this.node.getAttribute(key);\n",
" } else {\n",
" this.node.setAttribute(key, val);\n",
" return this;\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" Element.prototype.init_gadfly = function() {\n",
" this.mouseenter(Gadfly.plot_mouseover)\n",
" .mouseleave(Gadfly.plot_mouseout)\n",
" .dblclick(Gadfly.plot_dblclick)\n",
" .mousewheel(Gadfly.guide_background_scroll)\n",
" .drag(Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onmove,\n",
" Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onstart,\n",
" Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onend);\n",
" this.mouseenter(function (event) {\n",
" init_pan_zoom(this.plotroot());\n",
" });\n",
" return this;\n",
" };\n",
"});\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// When the plot is moused over, emphasize the grid lines.\n",
"Gadfly.plot_mouseover = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" var keyboard_zoom = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.which == 187) { // plus\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(root, 0.1, true);\n",
" } else if (event.which == 189) { // minus\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(root, -0.1, true);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
" root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\", keyboard_zoom);\n",
" window.addEventListener(\"keyup\", keyboard_zoom);\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\"),\n",
" ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
"\n",
" xgridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\",\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\").replace(/(\\d)(,|$)/g, \"$1mm$2\"));\n",
" ygridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\",\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\").replace(/(\\d)(,|$)/g, \"$1mm$2\"));\n",
"\n",
" // emphasize grid lines\n",
" var destcolor = root.data(\"focused_xgrid_color\");\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", \"none\")\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" destcolor = root.data(\"focused_ygrid_color\");\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", \"none\")\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" // reveal zoom slider\n",
" root.select(\".zoomslider\")\n",
" .animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"// Reset pan and zoom on double click\n",
"Gadfly.plot_dblclick = function(event) {\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(this.plotroot(), 0.0, 0.0, 1.0);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"// Unemphasize grid lines on mouse out.\n",
"Gadfly.plot_mouseout = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" window.removeEventListener(\"keyup\", root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\"));\n",
" root.data(\"keyboard_zoom\", undefined);\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\"),\n",
" ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
"\n",
" var destcolor = root.data(\"unfocused_xgrid_color\");\n",
"\n",
" xgridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", xgridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\"))\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" destcolor = root.data(\"unfocused_ygrid_color\");\n",
" ygridlines.attribute(\"stroke-dasharray\", ygridlines.data(\"unfocused_strokedash\"))\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .animate({stroke: destcolor}, 250);\n",
"\n",
" // hide zoom slider\n",
" root.select(\".zoomslider\")\n",
" .animate({opacity: 0.0}, 250);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var set_geometry_transform = function(root, tx, ty, scale) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
"\n",
" var old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
"\n",
" var xscale = xscalable ? scale : 1.0,\n",
" yscale = yscalable ? scale : 1.0;\n",
"\n",
" tx = xscalable ? tx : 0.0;\n",
" ty = yscalable ? ty : 0.0;\n",
"\n",
" var t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, ty).scale(xscale, yscale);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\".geometry, image\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" var xfixed_t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(0, ty).scale(1.0, yscale);\n",
" root.selectAll(\".xfixed\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(xfixed_t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".ylabels\")\n",
" .transform(xfixed_t)\n",
" .selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var cx = element.asPX(\"x\"),\n",
" cy = element.asPX(\"y\");\n",
" var st = element.data(\"static_transform\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix();\n",
" unscale_t.scale(1, 1/scale, cx, cy).add(st);\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
"\n",
" var y = cy * scale + ty;\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\",\n",
" bounds.y0 <= y && y <= bounds.y1 ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" var yfixed_t = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, 0).scale(xscale, 1.0);\n",
" var xtrans = new Snap.Matrix().translate(tx, 0);\n",
" root.selectAll(\".yfixed\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.transform(yfixed_t);\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".xlabels\")\n",
" .transform(yfixed_t)\n",
" .selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var cx = element.asPX(\"x\"),\n",
" cy = element.asPX(\"y\");\n",
" var st = element.data(\"static_transform\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix();\n",
" unscale_t.scale(1/scale, 1, cx, cy).add(st);\n",
"\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
"\n",
" var x = cx * scale + tx;\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\",\n",
" bounds.x0 <= x && x <= bounds.x1 ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // we must unscale anything that is scale invariance: widths, raiduses, etc.\n",
" var size_attribs = [\"font-size\"];\n",
" var unscaled_selection = \".geometry, .geometry *\";\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" size_attribs.push(\"rx\");\n",
" unscaled_selection += \", .xgridlines\";\n",
" }\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" size_attribs.push(\"ry\");\n",
" unscaled_selection += \", .ygridlines\";\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(unscaled_selection)\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" // circle need special help\n",
" if (element.node.nodeName == \"circle\") {\n",
" var cx = element.attribute(\"cx\"),\n",
" cy = element.attribute(\"cy\");\n",
" unscale_t = new Snap.Matrix().scale(1/xscale, 1/yscale,\n",
" cx, cy);\n",
" element.transform(unscale_t);\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" for (i in size_attribs) {\n",
" var key = size_attribs[i];\n",
" var val = parseFloat(element.attribute(key));\n",
" if (val !== undefined && val != 0 && !isNaN(val)) {\n",
" element.attribute(key, val * old_scale / scale);\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Find the most appropriate tick scale and update label visibility.\n",
"var update_tickscale = function(root, scale, axis) {\n",
" if (!root.hasClass(axis + \"scalable\")) return;\n",
"\n",
" var tickscales = root.data(axis + \"tickscales\");\n",
" var best_tickscale = 1.0;\n",
" var best_tickscale_dist = Infinity;\n",
" for (tickscale in tickscales) {\n",
" var dist = Math.abs(Math.log(tickscale) - Math.log(scale));\n",
" if (dist < best_tickscale_dist) {\n",
" best_tickscale_dist = dist;\n",
" best_tickscale = tickscale;\n",
" }\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (best_tickscale != root.data(axis + \"tickscale\")) {\n",
" root.data(axis + \"tickscale\", best_tickscale);\n",
" var mark_inscale_gridlines = function (element, i) {\n",
" var inscale = element.attr(\"gadfly:scale\") == best_tickscale;\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", inscale);\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", inscale ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" var mark_inscale_labels = function (element, i) {\n",
" var inscale = element.attr(\"gadfly:scale\") == best_tickscale;\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", inscale);\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", inscale ? \"visible\" : \"hidden\");\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" root.select(\".\" + axis + \"gridlines\").selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale_gridlines);\n",
" root.select(\".\" + axis + \"labels\").selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale_labels);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var set_plot_pan_zoom = function(root, tx, ty, scale) {\n",
" var old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" // compute the viewport derived from tx, ty, and scale\n",
" var x_min = -width * scale - (scale * width - width),\n",
" x_max = width * scale,\n",
" y_min = -height * scale - (scale * height - height),\n",
" y_max = height * scale;\n",
"\n",
" var x0 = bounds.x0 - scale * bounds.x0,\n",
" y0 = bounds.y0 - scale * bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx = Math.max(Math.min(tx - x0, x_max), x_min),\n",
" ty = Math.max(Math.min(ty - y0, y_max), y_min);\n",
"\n",
" tx += x0;\n",
" ty += y0;\n",
"\n",
" // when the scale change, we may need to alter which set of\n",
" // ticks is being displayed\n",
" if (scale != old_scale) {\n",
" update_tickscale(root, scale, \"x\");\n",
" update_tickscale(root, scale, \"y\");\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" set_geometry_transform(root, tx, ty, scale);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"scale\", scale);\n",
" root.data(\"tx\", tx);\n",
" root.data(\"ty\", ty);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var scale_centered_translation = function(root, scale) {\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
"\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx0 = root.data(\"tx\"),\n",
" ty0 = root.data(\"ty\");\n",
"\n",
" var scale0 = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
"\n",
" // how off from center the current view is\n",
" var xoff = tx0 - (bounds.x0 * (1 - scale0) + (width * (1 - scale0)) / 2),\n",
" yoff = ty0 - (bounds.y0 * (1 - scale0) + (height * (1 - scale0)) / 2);\n",
"\n",
" // rescale offsets\n",
" xoff = xoff * scale / scale0;\n",
" yoff = yoff * scale / scale0;\n",
"\n",
" // adjust for the panel position being scaled\n",
" var x_edge_adjust = bounds.x0 * (1 - scale),\n",
" y_edge_adjust = bounds.y0 * (1 - scale);\n",
"\n",
" return {\n",
" x: xoff + x_edge_adjust + (width - width * scale) / 2,\n",
" y: yoff + y_edge_adjust + (height - height * scale) / 2\n",
" };\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Initialize data for panning zooming if it isn't already.\n",
"var init_pan_zoom = function(root) {\n",
" if (root.data(\"zoompan-ready\")) {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // The non-scaling-stroke trick. Rather than try to correct for the\n",
" // stroke-width when zooming, we force it to a fixed value.\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.node.getCTM().a;\n",
"\n",
" // Drag events report deltas in pixels, which we'd like to convert to\n",
" // millimeters.\n",
" root.data(\"px_per_mm\", px_per_mm);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" sw = element.asPX(\"stroke-width\") * px_per_mm;\n",
" if (sw > 0) {\n",
" element.attribute(\"stroke-width\", sw);\n",
" element.attribute(\"vector-effect\", \"non-scaling-stroke\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" // Store ticks labels original tranformation\n",
" root.selectAll(\".xlabels > text, .ylabels > text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" var lm = element.transform().localMatrix;\n",
" element.data(\"static_transform\",\n",
" new Snap.Matrix(lm.a, lm.b, lm.c, lm.d, lm.e, lm.f));\n",
" });\n",
"\n",
" var xgridlines = root.select(\".xgridlines\");\n",
" var ygridlines = root.select(\".ygridlines\");\n",
" var xlabels = root.select(\".xlabels\");\n",
" var ylabels = root.select(\".ylabels\");\n",
"\n",
" if (root.data(\"tx\") === undefined) root.data(\"tx\", 0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"ty\") === undefined) root.data(\"ty\", 0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"scale\") === undefined) root.data(\"scale\", 1.0);\n",
" if (root.data(\"xtickscales\") === undefined) {\n",
"\n",
" // index all the tick scales that are listed\n",
" var xtickscales = {};\n",
" var ytickscales = {};\n",
" var add_x_tick_scales = function (element, i) {\n",
" xtickscales[element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\")] = true;\n",
" };\n",
" var add_y_tick_scales = function (element, i) {\n",
" ytickscales[element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\")] = true;\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) xgridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(add_x_tick_scales);\n",
" if (ygridlines) ygridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(add_y_tick_scales);\n",
" if (xlabels) xlabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(add_x_tick_scales);\n",
" if (ylabels) ylabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(add_y_tick_scales);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"xtickscales\", xtickscales);\n",
" root.data(\"ytickscales\", ytickscales);\n",
" root.data(\"xtickscale\", 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" var min_scale = 1.0, max_scale = 1.0;\n",
" for (scale in xtickscales) {\n",
" min_scale = Math.min(min_scale, scale);\n",
" max_scale = Math.max(max_scale, scale);\n",
" }\n",
" for (scale in ytickscales) {\n",
" min_scale = Math.min(min_scale, scale);\n",
" max_scale = Math.max(max_scale, scale);\n",
" }\n",
" root.data(\"min_scale\", min_scale);\n",
" root.data(\"max_scale\", max_scale);\n",
"\n",
" // store the original positions of labels\n",
" if (xlabels) {\n",
" xlabels.selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.data(\"x\", element.asPX(\"x\"));\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (ylabels) {\n",
" ylabels.selectAll(\"text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" element.data(\"y\", element.asPX(\"y\"));\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // mark grid lines and ticks as in or out of scale.\n",
" var mark_inscale = function (element, i) {\n",
" element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\", element.attribute(\"gadfly:scale\") == 1.0);\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) xgridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (ygridlines) ygridlines.selectAll(\"path\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (xlabels) xlabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
" if (ylabels) ylabels.selectAll(\"text\").forEach(mark_inscale);\n",
"\n",
" // figure out the upper ond lower bounds on panning using the maximum\n",
" // and minum grid lines\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var pan_bounds = {\n",
" x0: 0.0,\n",
" y0: 0.0,\n",
" x1: 0.0,\n",
" y1: 0.0\n",
" };\n",
"\n",
" if (xgridlines) {\n",
" xgridlines\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var bbox = element.node.getBBox();\n",
" if (bounds.x1 - bbox.x < pan_bounds.x0) {\n",
" pan_bounds.x0 = bounds.x1 - bbox.x;\n",
" }\n",
" if (bounds.x0 - bbox.x > pan_bounds.x1) {\n",
" pan_bounds.x1 = bounds.x0 - bbox.x;\n",
" }\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", \"visible\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" if (ygridlines) {\n",
" ygridlines\n",
" .selectAll(\"path\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" if (element.attribute(\"gadfly:inscale\") == \"true\") {\n",
" var bbox = element.node.getBBox();\n",
" if (bounds.y1 - bbox.y < pan_bounds.y0) {\n",
" pan_bounds.y0 = bounds.y1 - bbox.y;\n",
" }\n",
" if (bounds.y0 - bbox.y > pan_bounds.y1) {\n",
" pan_bounds.y1 = bounds.y0 - bbox.y;\n",
" }\n",
" element.attr(\"visibility\", \"visible\");\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" // nudge these values a little\n",
" pan_bounds.x0 -= 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.x1 += 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.y0 -= 5;\n",
" pan_bounds.y1 += 5;\n",
" root.data(\"pan_bounds\", pan_bounds);\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"zoompan-ready\", true)\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// drag actions, i.e. zooming and panning\n",
"var pan_action = {\n",
" start: function(root, x, y, event) {\n",
" root.data(\"dx\", 0);\n",
" root.data(\"dy\", 0);\n",
" root.data(\"tx0\", root.data(\"tx\"));\n",
" root.data(\"ty0\", root.data(\"ty\"));\n",
" },\n",
" update: function(root, dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" dx /= px_per_mm;\n",
" dy /= px_per_mm;\n",
"\n",
" var tx0 = root.data(\"tx\"),\n",
" ty0 = root.data(\"ty\");\n",
"\n",
" var dx0 = root.data(\"dx\"),\n",
" dy0 = root.data(\"dy\");\n",
"\n",
" root.data(\"dx\", dx);\n",
" root.data(\"dy\", dy);\n",
"\n",
" dx = dx - dx0;\n",
" dy = dy - dy0;\n",
"\n",
" var tx = tx0 + dx,\n",
" ty = ty0 + dy;\n",
"\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, tx, ty, root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" },\n",
" end: function(root, event) {\n",
"\n",
" },\n",
" cancel: function(root) {\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, root.data(\"tx0\"), root.data(\"ty0\"), root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"var zoom_box;\n",
"var zoom_action = {\n",
" start: function(root, x, y, event) {\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var width = bounds.x1 - bounds.x0,\n",
" height = bounds.y1 - bounds.y0;\n",
" var ratio = width / height;\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" x = xscalable ? x / px_per_mm : bounds.x0;\n",
" y = yscalable ? y / px_per_mm : bounds.y0;\n",
" var w = xscalable ? 0 : width;\n",
" var h = yscalable ? 0 : height;\n",
" zoom_box = root.rect(x, y, w, h).attr({\n",
" \"fill\": \"#000\",\n",
" \"opacity\": 0.25\n",
" });\n",
" zoom_box.data(\"ratio\", ratio);\n",
" },\n",
" update: function(root, dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" var bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" y /= px_per_mm;\n",
" y = Math.max(bounds.y0, y);\n",
" y = Math.min(bounds.y1, y);\n",
" } else {\n",
" y = bounds.y1;\n",
" }\n",
" if (xscalable) {\n",
" x /= px_per_mm;\n",
" x = Math.max(bounds.x0, x);\n",
" x = Math.min(bounds.x1, x);\n",
" } else {\n",
" x = bounds.x1;\n",
" }\n",
"\n",
" dx = x - zoom_box.attr(\"x\");\n",
" dy = y - zoom_box.attr(\"y\");\n",
" if (xscalable && yscalable) {\n",
" var ratio = zoom_box.data(\"ratio\");\n",
" var width = Math.min(Math.abs(dx), ratio * Math.abs(dy));\n",
" var height = Math.min(Math.abs(dy), Math.abs(dx) / ratio);\n",
" dx = width * dx / Math.abs(dx);\n",
" dy = height * dy / Math.abs(dy);\n",
" }\n",
" var xoffset = 0,\n",
" yoffset = 0;\n",
" if (dx < 0) {\n",
" xoffset = dx;\n",
" dx = -1 * dx;\n",
" }\n",
" if (dy < 0) {\n",
" yoffset = dy;\n",
" dy = -1 * dy;\n",
" }\n",
" if (isNaN(dy)) {\n",
" dy = 0.0;\n",
" }\n",
" if (isNaN(dx)) {\n",
" dx = 0.0;\n",
" }\n",
" zoom_box.transform(\"T\" + xoffset + \",\" + yoffset);\n",
" zoom_box.attr(\"width\", dx);\n",
" zoom_box.attr(\"height\", dy);\n",
" },\n",
" end: function(root, event) {\n",
" var xscalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\"),\n",
" yscalable = root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var zoom_bounds = zoom_box.getBBox();\n",
" if (zoom_bounds.width * zoom_bounds.height <= 0) {\n",
" return;\n",
" }\n",
" var plot_bounds = root.plotbounds();\n",
" var zoom_factor = 1.0;\n",
" if (yscalable) {\n",
" zoom_factor = (plot_bounds.y1 - plot_bounds.y0) / zoom_bounds.height;\n",
" } else {\n",
" zoom_factor = (plot_bounds.x1 - plot_bounds.x0) / zoom_bounds.width;\n",
" }\n",
" var tx = (root.data(\"tx\") - zoom_bounds.x) * zoom_factor + plot_bounds.x0,\n",
" ty = (root.data(\"ty\") - zoom_bounds.y) * zoom_factor + plot_bounds.y0;\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, tx, ty, root.data(\"scale\") * zoom_factor);\n",
" zoom_box.remove();\n",
" },\n",
" cancel: function(root) {\n",
" zoom_box.remove();\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onstart = function(x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var scalable = root.hasClass(\"xscalable\") || root.hasClass(\"yscalable\");\n",
" var zoomable = !event.altKey && !event.ctrlKey && event.shiftKey && scalable;\n",
" var panable = !event.altKey && !event.ctrlKey && !event.shiftKey && scalable;\n",
" var drag_action = zoomable ? zoom_action :\n",
" panable ? pan_action :\n",
" undefined;\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", drag_action);\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" var cancel_drag_action = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.which == 27) { // esc key\n",
" drag_action.cancel(root);\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", undefined);\n",
" }\n",
" };\n",
" window.addEventListener(\"keyup\", cancel_drag_action);\n",
" root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\", cancel_drag_action);\n",
" drag_action.start(root, x, y, event);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onmove = function(dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var drag_action = root.data(\"drag_action\");\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" drag_action.update(root, dx, dy, x, y, event);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_drag_onend = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" window.removeEventListener(\"keyup\", root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\"));\n",
" root.data(\"cancel_drag_action\", undefined);\n",
" var drag_action = root.data(\"drag_action\");\n",
" if (drag_action) {\n",
" drag_action.end(root, event);\n",
" }\n",
" root.data(\"drag_action\", undefined);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.guide_background_scroll = function(event) {\n",
" if (event.shiftKey) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), 0.001 * event.wheelDelta);\n",
" event.preventDefault();\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover = function(event) {\n",
" this.select(\".button_logo\")\n",
" .animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseover_color\")}, 100);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout = function(event) {\n",
" this.select(\".button_logo\")\n",
" .animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseout_color\")}, 100);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomout_click = function(event) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), -0.1, true);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomin_click = function(event) {\n",
" increase_zoom_by_position(this.plotroot(), 0.1, true);\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_track_click = function(event) {\n",
" // TODO\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"// Map slider position x to scale y using the function y = a*exp(b*x)+c.\n",
"// The constants a, b, and c are solved using the constraint that the function\n",
"// should go through the points (0; min_scale), (0.5; 1), and (1; max_scale).\n",
"var scale_from_slider_position = function(position, min_scale, max_scale) {\n",
" var a = (1 - 2 * min_scale + min_scale * min_scale) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2),\n",
" b = 2 * Math.log((max_scale - 1) / (1 - min_scale)),\n",
" c = (min_scale * max_scale - 1) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2);\n",
" return a * Math.exp(b * position) + c;\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"// inverse of scale_from_slider_position\n",
"var slider_position_from_scale = function(scale, min_scale, max_scale) {\n",
" var a = (1 - 2 * min_scale + min_scale * min_scale) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2),\n",
" b = 2 * Math.log((max_scale - 1) / (1 - min_scale)),\n",
" c = (min_scale * max_scale - 1) / (min_scale + max_scale - 2);\n",
" return 1 / b * Math.log((scale - c) / a);\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"var increase_zoom_by_position = function(root, delta_position, animate) {\n",
" var scale = root.data(\"scale\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\");\n",
" var position = slider_position_from_scale(scale, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" position += delta_position;\n",
" scale = scale_from_slider_position(position, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" set_zoom(root, scale, animate);\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"var set_zoom = function(root, scale, animate) {\n",
" var min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\"),\n",
" old_scale = root.data(\"scale\");\n",
" var new_scale = Math.max(min_scale, Math.min(scale, max_scale));\n",
" if (animate) {\n",
" Snap.animate(\n",
" old_scale,\n",
" new_scale,\n",
" function (new_scale) {\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" },\n",
" 200);\n",
" } else {\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" }\n",
"}\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var update_plot_scale = function(root, new_scale) {\n",
" var trans = scale_centered_translation(root, new_scale);\n",
" set_plot_pan_zoom(root, trans.x, trans.y, new_scale);\n",
"\n",
" root.selectAll(\".zoomslider_thumb\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element, i) {\n",
" var min_pos = element.data(\"min_pos\"),\n",
" max_pos = element.data(\"max_pos\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\");\n",
" var xmid = (min_pos + max_pos) / 2;\n",
" var xpos = slider_position_from_scale(new_scale, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" element.transform(new Snap.Matrix().translate(\n",
" Math.max(min_pos, Math.min(\n",
" max_pos, min_pos + (max_pos - min_pos) * xpos)) - xmid, 0));\n",
" });\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragmove = function(dx, dy, x, y, event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var min_pos = this.data(\"min_pos\"),\n",
" max_pos = this.data(\"max_pos\"),\n",
" min_scale = root.data(\"min_scale\"),\n",
" max_scale = root.data(\"max_scale\"),\n",
" old_scale = root.data(\"old_scale\");\n",
"\n",
" var px_per_mm = root.data(\"px_per_mm\");\n",
" dx /= px_per_mm;\n",
" dy /= px_per_mm;\n",
"\n",
" var xmid = (min_pos + max_pos) / 2;\n",
" var xpos = slider_position_from_scale(old_scale, min_scale, max_scale) +\n",
" dx / (max_pos - min_pos);\n",
"\n",
" // compute the new scale\n",
" var new_scale = scale_from_slider_position(xpos, min_scale, max_scale);\n",
" new_scale = Math.min(max_scale, Math.max(min_scale, new_scale));\n",
"\n",
" update_plot_scale(root, new_scale);\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragstart = function(x, y, event) {\n",
" this.animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseover_color\")}, 100);\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
"\n",
" // keep track of what the scale was when we started dragging\n",
" root.data(\"old_scale\", root.data(\"scale\"));\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragend = function(event) {\n",
" this.animate({fill: this.data(\"mouseout_color\")}, 100);\n",
" event.stopPropagation();\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"var toggle_color_class = function(root, color_class, ison) {\n",
" var guides = root.selectAll(\".guide.\" + color_class + \",.guide .\" + color_class);\n",
" var geoms = root.selectAll(\".geometry.\" + color_class + \",.geometry .\" + color_class);\n",
" if (ison) {\n",
" guides.animate({opacity: 0.5}, 250);\n",
" geoms.animate({opacity: 0.0}, 250);\n",
" } else {\n",
" guides.animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
" geoms.animate({opacity: 1.0}, 250);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"Gadfly.colorkey_swatch_click = function(event) {\n",
" var root = this.plotroot();\n",
" var color_class = this.data(\"color_class\");\n",
"\n",
" if (event.shiftKey) {\n",
" root.selectAll(\".colorkey text\")\n",
" .forEach(function (element) {\n",
" var other_color_class = element.data(\"color_class\");\n",
" if (other_color_class != color_class) {\n",
" toggle_color_class(root, other_color_class,\n",
" element.attr(\"opacity\") == 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
" });\n",
" } else {\n",
" toggle_color_class(root, color_class, this.attr(\"opacity\") == 1.0);\n",
" }\n",
"};\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"return Gadfly;\n",
"\n",
"}));\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"//@ sourceURL=gadfly.js\n",
"\n",
"(function (glob, factory) {\n",
" // AMD support\n",
" if (typeof require === \"function\" && typeof define === \"function\" && define.amd) {\n",
" require([\"Snap.svg\", \"Gadfly\"], function (Snap, Gadfly) {\n",
" factory(Snap, Gadfly);\n",
" });\n",
" } else {\n",
" factory(glob.Snap, glob.Gadfly);\n",
" }\n",
"})(window, function (Snap, Gadfly) {\n",
" var fig = Snap(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e\");\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-8\")\n",
" .init_gadfly();\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-11\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"unfocused_ygrid_color\", \"#D0D0E0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-11\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"focused_ygrid_color\", \"#A0A0A0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-12\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"unfocused_xgrid_color\", \"#D0D0E0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-12\")\n",
" .plotroot().data(\"focused_xgrid_color\", \"#A0A0A0\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-16\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-16\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-16\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomin_click)\n",
".mouseenter(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover)\n",
".mouseleave(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-18\")\n",
" .data(\"max_pos\", 111.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-18\")\n",
" .data(\"min_pos\", 94.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-18\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_track_click);\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"max_pos\", 111.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"min_pos\", 94.58)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-19\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-19\")\n",
" .drag(Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragmove,\n",
" Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragstart,\n",
" Gadfly.zoomslider_thumb_dragend)\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-20\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseover_color\", \"#CD5C5C\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-20\")\n",
" .data(\"mouseout_color\", \"#6A6A6A\")\n",
";\n",
"fig.select(\"#fig-0378e04b897742b597befd2e8e1c169e-element-20\")\n",
" .click(Gadfly.zoomslider_zoomout_click)\n",
".mouseenter(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseover)\n",
".mouseleave(Gadfly.zoomslider_button_mouseout)\n",
";\n",
" });\n",
"]]> </script>\n",
"</svg>\n"
],
"text/plain": [
"Plot(...)"
]
},
"execution_count": 7,
"metadata": {},
"output_type": "execute_result"
}
],
"source": [
"full_motion = ones(5) * S0\n",
"full_term = vcat(term[1], forward_yield)\n",
"for i=1:T\n",
" μ = (full_term[i] - 1 - q)\n",
" year_motion = simulate_gbm(full_motion[:,end], μ, σ, 1, n)\n",
" full_motion = hcat(full_motion, year_motion)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"display_motion(full_motion, T)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"### Final simulation\n",
"\n",
"We're now going to actually build out the full motion that we'll use for computing the pricing of our autocallable products. It will be largely the same, but we will use far more sample paths for the simulation."
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 8,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"Time to run simulation: 5.34s"
]
}
],
"source": [
"full_simulation = function(S0, T, n, m, term)\n",
" forward = vcat(term[1], forward_term(term))\n",
"\n",
" # And an S0 to kick things off.\n",
" final_motion = ones(m) * S0\n",
" for i=1:T\n",
" μ = (forward[i] - 1 - q)\n",
" year_motion = simulate_gbm(final_motion[:,end], μ, σ, 1, n)\n",
" final_motion = hcat(final_motion, year_motion)\n",
" end\n",
" return final_motion\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"tic()\n",
"full_simulation(S0, T, n, m, term)\n",
"time = toq()\n",
"@printf(\"Time to run simulation: %.2fs\", time)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Athena Simulation\n",
"\n",
"Now that we've defined our underlying simulation, let's actually try and price an Athena note. Athena has the following characteristics:\n",
"\n",
"- Automatically called if the underlying is above the **call barrier** at observation\n",
"- Accelerated coupon paid if the underlying is above the **call barrier** at observation\n",
" - The coupon paid is $c \\cdot i$ with $i$ as the current year, and $c$ the coupon rate\n",
"- Principle protection up until a **protection barrier** at observation; All principle at risk if this barrier not met\n",
"- Observed yearly"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 9,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"Mean of simulation 1: $103.2805; Simulation time: 5.59s\n",
"Mean of simulation 2: $103.3796; Simulation time: 5.05s\n",
"Mean of simulation 3: $103.4752; Simulation time: 5.18s\n",
"Mean of simulation 4: $103.4099; Simulation time: 5.37s\n",
"Mean of simulation 5: $103.3260; Simulation time: 5.32s\n",
"Mean over 5 simulations: 103.37421610015554\n",
"Present value of Athena note: $95.00, notional: $100.00"
]
}
],
"source": [
"call_barrier = S0\n",
"strike = S0\n",
"protection_barrier = S0 * .6\n",
"coupon = nominal * .07\n",
"\n",
"price_athena = function(initial_price, year_prices, call_barrier,\n",
" protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
" total_coupons = 0\n",
" \n",
" t = length(year_prices)\n",
"\n",
" for i=1:t\n",
" price = year_prices[i]\n",
" if price ≥ call_barrier\n",
" return (nominal + coupon*i) * exp((prod(forward_structure[i:end])-1)*(t-i))\n",
" end\n",
" end\n",
"\n",
" # We've reached maturity, time to check capital protection\n",
" if year_prices[end] > protection_barrier\n",
" return nominal\n",
" else\n",
" put = (strike - year_prices[end]) / strike\n",
" return nominal*(1-put)\n",
" end\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"forward_structure = forward_term(term)\n",
"price_function = (year_prices) -> price_athena(S0, year_prices,\n",
" call_barrier, protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
"athena = function()\n",
" year_indexes = [n*i for i=1:T]\n",
" motion = full_simulation(S0, T, n, m, term)\n",
" payoffs = [price_function(motion[i, year_indexes]) for i=1:m]\n",
" return mean(payoffs)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"mean_payoffs = zeros(num_simulations)\n",
"for i=1:num_simulations\n",
" tic()\n",
" mean_payoffs[i] = athena()\n",
" time = toq()\n",
" @printf(\"Mean of simulation %i: \\$%.4f; Simulation time: %.2fs\\n\", i, mean_payoffs[i], time)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"final_mean = mean(mean_payoffs)\n",
"println(\"Mean over $num_simulations simulations: $(mean(mean_payoffs))\")\n",
"pv = final_mean * (exp(-(prod(forward_structure)-1)*T))\n",
"@printf(\"Present value of Athena note: \\$%.2f, notional: \\$%.2f\", pv, nominal)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Phoenix without Memory Simulation\n",
"\n",
"Let's move into pricing a Phoenix without memory. It's very similar to the Athena production, with the exception that we introduce a coupon barrier so coupons are paid even when the underlying is below the initial price.\n",
"\n",
"The Phoenix product has the following characteristics (example [here](https://www.rbccm.com/usstructurednotes/file-780079.pdf)):\n",
"\n",
"- Automatically called if the underlying is above the **call barrier** at observation\n",
"- Coupon paid if the underlying is above a **coupon barrier** at observation\n",
"- Principle protection up until a **protection barrier** at observation; All principle at risk if this barrier not met\n",
"- Observed yearly\n",
"\n",
"Some example paths (all assume that a call barrier of the current price, and coupon barrier some level below that):\n",
"\n",
"- At the end of year 1, the stock is above the call barrier; the note is called and you receive the value of the stock plus the coupon being paid.\n",
"- At the end of year 1, the stock is above the coupon barrier, but not the call barrier; you receive the coupon. At the end of year 2, the stock is below the coupon barrier; you receive nothing. At the end of year 3, the stock is above the call barrier; the note is called and you receive the value of the stock plus a coupon for year 3.\n",
"\n",
"We're going to re-use the same simulation, with the following parameters:\n",
"\n",
"- Call barrier: 100%\n",
"- Coupon barrier: 70%\n",
"- Coupon: 6%\n",
"- Capital protection until 70% (at maturity)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 10,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false,
"scrolled": true
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"Mean of simulation 1: $106.0562; Simulation time: 5.72s\n",
"Mean of simulation 2: $106.0071; Simulation time: 5.85s\n",
"Mean of simulation 3: $105.9959; Simulation time: 5.87s\n",
"Mean of simulation 4: $106.0665; Simulation time: 5.93s\n",
"Mean of simulation 5: $106.0168; Simulation time: 5.81s\n",
"Mean over 5 simulations: 106.02850857209883\n",
"Present value of Phoenix without memory note: $97.44"
]
}
],
"source": [
"call_barrier = S0\n",
"coupon_barrier = S0 * .8\n",
"protection_barrier = S0 * .6\n",
"coupon = nominal * .06\n",
"\n",
"price_phoenix_no_memory = function(initial_price, year_prices, call_barrier, coupon_barrier,\n",
" protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
" total_coupons = 0\n",
" t = length(year_prices)\n",
"\n",
" for i=1:t\n",
" price = year_prices[i]\n",
" if price ≥ call_barrier\n",
" return (nominal + coupon + total_coupons)*exp((prod(forward_structure[i:end])-1)*(t-i))\n",
" elseif price ≥ coupon_barrier\n",
" total_coupons = total_coupons * exp(forward_structure[i]-1) + coupon\n",
" else\n",
" total_coupons *= exp(forward_structure[i]-1)\n",
" end\n",
" end\n",
"\n",
" # We've reached maturity, time to check capital protection\n",
" if year_prices[end] > protection_barrier\n",
" return nominal + total_coupons\n",
" else\n",
" put = (strike - year_prices[end]) / strike\n",
" return nominal*(1-put)\n",
" end\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"forward_structure = forward_term(term)\n",
"price_function = (year_prices) -> price_phoenix_no_memory(S0, year_prices,\n",
" call_barrier, coupon_barrier, protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
"phoenix_no_memory = function()\n",
" year_indexes = [n*i for i=1:T]\n",
" motion = full_simulation(S0, T, n, m, term)\n",
" payoffs = [price_function(motion[i, year_indexes]) for i=1:m]\n",
" return mean(payoffs)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"mean_payoffs = zeros(num_simulations)\n",
"for i=1:num_simulations\n",
" tic()\n",
" mean_payoffs[i] = phoenix_no_memory()\n",
" time = toq()\n",
" @printf(\"Mean of simulation %i: \\$%.4f; Simulation time: %.2fs\\n\", i, mean_payoffs[i], time)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"final_mean = mean(mean_payoffs)\n",
"println(\"Mean over $num_simulations simulations: $(mean(mean_payoffs))\")\n",
"pv = final_mean * exp(-(prod(forward_structure)-1)*(T))\n",
"@printf(\"Present value of Phoenix without memory note: \\$%.2f\", pv)"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"## Phoenix with Memory Simulation\n",
"\n",
"The Phoenix with Memory structure is very similar to the Phoenix, but as the name implies, has a special \"memory\" property: **It remembers any coupons that haven't been paid at prior observation times, and pays them all if the underlying crosses the coupon barrier**. For example:\n",
"- Note issued with 100% call barrier, 70% coupon barrier. At year 1, the underlying is at 50%, so no coupons are paid. At year 2, the underlying is at 80%, so coupons for both year 1 and 2 are paid, resulting in a double coupon.\n",
"\n",
"You can also find an example [here](https://www.rbccm.com/usstructurednotes/file-781232.pdf).\n",
"\n",
"Let's go ahead and set up the simulation! The parameters will be the same, but we can expect that the value will go up because of the memory attribute"
]
},
{
"cell_type": "code",
"execution_count": 11,
"metadata": {
"collapsed": false
},
"outputs": [
{
"name": "stdout",
"output_type": "stream",
"text": [
"Mean of simulation 1: $108.8612; Simulation time: 5.89s\n",
"Mean of simulation 2: $109.0226; Simulation time: 5.90s\n",
"Mean of simulation 3: $108.9175; Simulation time: 5.92s\n",
"Mean of simulation 4: $108.9426; Simulation time: 5.94s\n",
"Mean of simulation 5: $108.8087; Simulation time: 6.06s\n",
"Mean over 5 simulations: 108.91052564051816\n",
"Present value of Phoenix with memory note: $100.09"
]
}
],
"source": [
"call_barrier = S0\n",
"coupon_barrier = S0 * .8\n",
"protection_barrier = S0 * .6\n",
"coupon = nominal * .07\n",
"\n",
"price_phoenix_with_memory = function(initial_price, year_prices, call_barrier,\n",
" coupon_barrier, protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
" last_coupon = 0\n",
" total_coupons = 0\n",
" \n",
" t = length(year_prices)\n",
"\n",
" for i=1:t\n",
" price = year_prices[i]\n",
" if price > call_barrier\n",
" return (nominal + coupon + total_coupons)*exp((prod(forward_structure[i:end])-1)*(t-i))\n",
" elseif price > coupon_barrier\n",
" ####################################################################\n",
" # The only difference between with/without memory is the below lines\n",
" memory_coupons = (i - last_coupon) * coupon\n",
" last_coupon = i\n",
" total_coupons = total_coupons * exp(forward_structure[i]-1) + memory_coupons\n",
" ####################################################################\n",
" else\n",
" total_coupons *= exp(forward_structure[i]-1)\n",
" end\n",
" end\n",
"\n",
" # We've reached maturity, time to check capital protection\n",
" if year_prices[end] > protection_barrier\n",
" return nominal + total_coupons\n",
" else\n",
" put = (strike - year_prices[end]) / strike\n",
" return nominal*(1-put)\n",
" end\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"forward_structure = forward_term(term)\n",
"price_function = (year_prices) -> price_phoenix_with_memory(S0, year_prices,\n",
" call_barrier, coupon_barrier, protection_barrier, coupon, forward_structure)\n",
"\n",
"phoenix_with_memory = function()\n",
" year_indexes = [n*i for i=1:T]\n",
" motion = full_simulation(S0, T, n, m, term)\n",
" payoffs = [price_function(motion[i, year_indexes]) for i=1:m]\n",
" return mean(payoffs)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"mean_payoffs = zeros(num_simulations)\n",
"for i=1:num_simulations\n",
" tic()\n",
" mean_payoffs[i] = phoenix_with_memory()\n",
" time = toq()\n",
" @printf(\"Mean of simulation %i: \\$%.4f; Simulation time: %.2fs\\n\",\n",
" i, mean_payoffs[i], time)\n",
"end\n",
"\n",
"final_mean = mean(mean_payoffs)\n",
"println(\"Mean over $num_simulations simulations: $(mean(mean_payoffs))\")\n",
"pv = final_mean * exp(-(prod(forward_structure)-1)*(T))\n",
"@printf(\"Present value of Phoenix with memory note: \\$%.2f\", pv)"
]
}
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