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https://github.com/bspeice/bspeice.github.io
synced 2024-12-22 06:18:10 -05:00
Fix an issue with how quarters were calculated
Ended up throwing off the final estimate by 6 quarters.
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@ -60,7 +60,7 @@
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 2,
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"metadata": {
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"collapsed": true
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"collapsed": false
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},
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"outputs": [],
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"source": [
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@ -389,7 +389,7 @@
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 13,
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"execution_count": 12,
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"metadata": {
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"collapsed": false
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},
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@ -398,7 +398,7 @@
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"name": "stdout",
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"output_type": "stream",
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"text": [
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"Quarters left starting 2068: 2\n",
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"Quarters left starting 2068: 8\n",
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"Remaining heartbeats after that: 4760716\n"
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]
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}
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@ -407,7 +407,7 @@
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"remaining_leap = remaining_4y - leap_day_count\n",
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"# Ignore leap day in the data set\n",
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"heartbeats_quarter = hr_df_full[(hr_df_full.index.month != 2) &\n",
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" (hr_df_full.index.day != 29)]['value'].sum() * 4\n",
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" (hr_df_full.index.day != 29)]['value'].sum()\n",
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"quarters_left = remaining_leap // heartbeats_quarter\n",
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"remaining_year = remaining_leap - quarters_left * heartbeats_quarter\n",
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"\n",
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@ -419,12 +419,12 @@
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"So, that analysis gets me through the 2<sup>nd</sup> quarter in 2068, specifically to June 1<sup>st</sup>, 2068. Final step, using that minute estimate to figure out how many minutes past that I'm predicted to have:"
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"So, that analysis gets me through until January 1<sup>st</sup> 2070. Final step, using that minute estimate to figure out how many minutes past that I'm predicted to have:"
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]
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},
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{
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"cell_type": "code",
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"execution_count": 14,
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"execution_count": 13,
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"metadata": {
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"collapsed": false
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},
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@ -432,10 +432,10 @@
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{
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"data": {
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"text/plain": [
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"datetime.datetime(2069, 8, 23, 5, 28)"
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"datetime.datetime(2070, 2, 23, 5, 28)"
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]
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},
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"execution_count": 14,
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"execution_count": 13,
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"metadata": {},
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"output_type": "execute_result"
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}
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@ -443,7 +443,7 @@
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"source": [
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"from datetime import timedelta\n",
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"\n",
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"base = datetime(2068, 7, 1)\n",
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"base = datetime(2070, 1, 1)\n",
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"minutes_left = remaining_year // minute_mean\n",
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"\n",
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"kaput = timedelta(minutes=minutes_left)\n",
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@ -454,11 +454,11 @@
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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"According to this, I've got until August 23<sup>rd</sup>, 2069 at 5:28 PM in the evening before my heart gives out.\n",
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"According to this, I've got until February 23<sup>rd</sup>, 2070 at 5:28 PM in the evening before my heart gives out.\n",
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"\n",
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"# Summary\n",
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"\n",
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"Well, that's kind of a creepy date to know. As I said at the top though, **this number is totally useless in any medical context**. It ignores the rate at which we continue to get better at making people live longer, and is extrapolating from 3 months' worth of data the rest of my life.\n",
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"Well, that's kind of a creepy date to know. As I said at the top though, **this number is totally useless in any medical context**. It ignores the rate at which we continue to get better at making people live longer, and is extrapolating from 3 months' worth of data the rest of my life. Additionally, throughout my time developing this post I made many minor mistakes. I think they're all fixed now, but it's easy to mix a number up here or there and the analysis gets thrown off by a couple years.\n",
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"\n",
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"Even still, I think philosophically humans have a desire to know how much time we have left in the world. [Man is but a breath](https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=psalm+144&version=ESV), and it's scary to think just how quickly that date may be coming up. This analysis asks an important question though: what are you going to do with the time you have left?\n",
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"\n",
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@ -468,21 +468,21 @@
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],
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"metadata": {
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"kernelspec": {
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"display_name": "Python 2",
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"display_name": "Python 3",
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"language": "python",
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"name": "python2"
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"name": "python3"
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},
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"language_info": {
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"codemirror_mode": {
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"name": "ipython",
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"version": 2
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"version": 3
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},
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"file_extension": ".py",
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"mimetype": "text/x-python",
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"name": "python",
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"nbconvert_exporter": "python",
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"pygments_lexer": "ipython2",
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"version": "2.7.10"
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"pygments_lexer": "ipython3",
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"version": "3.5.1"
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}
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},
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"nbformat": 4,
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